Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio das Seixas (Malveira)


	Atlético da Malveira		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.2
	2.08	2.96	3.49
	2.1	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3	3.2
	2.11	3.4	3.19
	2.08	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)	3.06 ↑ (2.98)	3.33 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético da Malveira
43.2%

Draw
29.6%

Alverca B
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Atlético da Malveira - Alverca B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
62', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 3).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Malveira could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malveira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.01.26	Elvas - Atlético da Malveira	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Juventude de Évora - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Louletano	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Sintrense - Atlético da Malveira	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Portimonense B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTWTW
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.01.26	Alverca B - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Moncarapachense - Alverca B	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Comércio e Indústria - Alverca B	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Alverca B - Serpa	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Alcochetense - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
24.08.25	Alverca B - Atlético da Malveira	0:2

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