Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BAIANO - ROUND 9

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carneiro (Alagoinhas) 🌤️ ...


	Atlético de Alagoinhas		Doce Mel

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.8	9.5
	1.25	4.7	10.5
	1.17	5.25	11.16
	1.22	5.65	11.25
	1.26	4.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.55)	5.04 ↑ (3.53)	10.48 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Alagoinhas
73.4%

Draw
17.9%

Doce Mel
8.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

25.9%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

23.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Alagoinhas's performance.

Doce Mel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Doce Mel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Alagoinhas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doce Mel than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doce Mel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Doce Mel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético de Alagoinhas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Doce Mel has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Doce Mel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético de Alagoinhas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético de Alagoinhas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Alagoinhas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Campinense	2:1 ✺
17.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
11.02.23	Juazeirense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL
- Doce Mel EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
11.02.23	Doce Mel - Bahia	0:1 ✺
07.02.23	Itabuna - Doce Mel	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Doce Mel - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Doce Mel	3:0 ✺
26.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Doce Mel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
19.01.22	Doce Mel - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:3
14.03.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Doce Mel	3:0
26.01.20	Doce Mel - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:2

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Doce Mel

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Doce Mel Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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