The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Alagoinhas 50.4%
Draw 28.9%
Villa Nova AC 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
24.7%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.3%
20.4%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Alagoinhas's form might have worsened.
Villa Nova AC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+17.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Alagoinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa Nova AC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Atlético de Alagoinhas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Villa Nova is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético de Alagoinhas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Atlético de Alagoinhas is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético de Alagoinhas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.