Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.5
	1.88	3.1	4.2
	1.87	3.2	4.33
	1.9	3.12	4.84
	1.9	3.12	4.84
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.89	3.18	4.27	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.97)	3.17 ↑ (3.12)	4.46 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
49.7%

Draw
29.4%

Almirante Brown
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Atlético de Rafaela - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grinovero A. (G) 4. Portillo A. 2. Colombo R. 6. Jappert K. 3. Oliver F. 8. Berrondo A. 5. Merlino L. 7. Aguirre J. 11. Capurro J. 9. Vidal P. 10. Albertengo L.	1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Mino F. 2. Errecalde G. 6. Quiroz L. 3. Rodriguez F. 8. Iglesias L. 5. Cenci B. 7. Acosta N. 10. Vera S. 9. Bonacci P. 11. Diaz T.
Substitutes
20. Albertengo G. 12. Bergia M. (G) 17. Biolatto L. 15. Bravo I. 16. Fissore M. 19. Funez N. 13. Kozlovsky N. 14. Stizza J. 18. Toldo F.	14. Abreliano M. 19. Almada T. 16. Escurra J. 18. Fernandez B. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 15. Guzman L. 17. Piteo M. A. 20. Rivero G. 13. Varela C.
Coaches
Pancaldo R.	Bazan Vera D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Errecalde G. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Iglesias L. ⚽,
36', Capurro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Acosta N. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
59', Aguirre J. ↓, Funez N. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Jappert K. ⚽,
70', Iglesias L. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
74', Mino F. 🟨,
76', Vidal P. ↓, Biolatto L. ↑,
76', Bonacci P. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
77', Diaz T. ↓, Abreliano M. ↑,
77', Vera S. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
85', Berrondo A. ↓, Toldo F. ↑,
85', Merlino L. ↓, Fissore M. ↑,
85', Jappert K. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Atlético de Rafaela is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Almirante Brown is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético de Rafaela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético de Rafaela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.05.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Deportivo Madryn - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Atlético de Rafaela - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTLL
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.24	Almirante Brown - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.05.24	Almirante Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	4:3 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.24	Chaco For Ever - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Club Almagro - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.22	Almirante Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0

Upcoming Matches