The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Rafaela 43.8%
Draw 29.9%
San Telmo 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
31.4%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
32.2%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Atlético de Rafaela - San Telmo Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). San Telmo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Portillo A. 2. Colombo R. 6. Oliver F. 3. Quiroz F. 8. Berrondo A. 5. Fissore M. 7. Capurro J. 11. Aguirre J. 9. Funez N. 10. Albertengo L.
1. Bustos B. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Gonzalez H. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Franco E. 5. Ramirez G. 10. Fernandez A. 7. Gonzalez R. 9. Tisera F. 11. Barreto J.
Substitutes
15. Aguero E. 19. Albertengo G. 17. Galeano J. 13. Kozlovsky N. 16. Merlino L. 14. Stizza J. 20. Toldo F. 12. Turnes I. (G) 18. Vidal P.
12. Balderrama M. A. (G) 16. Cosi J. 17. Gimenez G. 19. Heiz N. 13. Lillo G. 18. Mayenfisch G. 14. Pollacchi L. 20. Salerno M. 15. Yangali J.
Coaches
Pancaldo R.
Grelak A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Berrondo A. ↓, Kozlovsky N. ↑,
64', Ayunta F. ↓, Lillo G. ↑,
71', Fissore M. ↓, Galeano J. ↑,
71', Funez N. ↓, Toldo F. ↑,
72', Barreto J. ↓, Heiz N. ↑,
72', Fernandez A. ↓, Cosi J. ↑,
72', Gonzalez R. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ⚽,
76', Lillo G. 🟨,
83', Toldo F. 🟨,
85', Albertengo L. 🟨,
86', Franco E. ↓, Salerno M. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Ramirez G. (Pen),
90+1', 1 - 2, Salerno M. ⚽,
90+4', Aguirre J. ↓, Vidal P. ↑,
90+4', Cosi J. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Atlético de Rafaela is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Telmo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Atlético de Rafaela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Atlético de Rafaela will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
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