Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 24

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético de Rafaela		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.65	3.50
	2.30	2.75	3.40
	2.12	2.90	3.80
	2.40	2.80	3.64
	2.36	2.76	3.61	Watch
	2.40	2.75	3.50
	2.44	2.69	3.49	Watch
	2.31	2.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.15)	2.74 ↓ (2.87)	3.55 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
39.8%

Draw
34%

Chacarita Juniors
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

32.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

32.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Atlético de Rafaela - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Solveyra A. 6. Yegros U. 3. Wuattier E. 8. Cavallaro J. 5. Capurro J. 7. Jourdan F. 10. Obando A. 9. Albertengo L. 11. Quiroga M.	1. Losas F. (G) 4. Maldonado A. 2. Leyendeker M. 6. Vittor S. 3. Chaves N. 8. Duran D. 5. Perdomo L. 10. Guanca C. 11. Calderara B. 7. Cuero M. 9. Dominguez A.
Substitutes
17. Fernandez M. 15. Gonzalez A. 12. Martinez R. (G) 16. Morello M. 13. Moscoloni L. 18. Pardo M. 19. Protti I. 14. Ramos N. 20. Rodriguez A.	18. Brun L. 16. Bustos L. 19. Cuello A. 14. Facello F. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 20. Gerez E. 13. Pantaleone N. 17. Sanabria M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ⚽, Quiroga M. (A),
19', Losas F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Duran D. ↓, Bustos L. ↑,
57', Solveyra A. 🟨,
61', Cavallaro J. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
61', Cuero M. ↓, Brun L. ↑,
61', Calderara B. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
71', Jourdan F. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
71', Quiroga M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
77', Obando A. ↓, Protti I. ↑,
78', Perdomo L. ↓, Gerez E. ↑,
78', Maldonado A. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 2.

Atlético Rafaela has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chacarita's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético Rafaela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético de Rafaela - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.44%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Chacarita Juniors - the odds 3.89 are the expected chance of winning is 24.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.08.26	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Temperley - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Club Almagro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLLL
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.08.26	Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Tristán Suárez - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	San Martín de San Juan - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Chacarita Juniors - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1
15.10.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Chacarita Juniors	1:1
02.06.23	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	3:0
23.07.22	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	3:1
02.12.19	Atlético de Rafaela - Chacarita Juniors	2:0
06.04.19	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0

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