Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 20

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético de Rafaela		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.80
	2.15	2.85	3.50
	2.25	2.95	3.45
	2.20	2.92	4.05
	2.31	2.82	3.62	Watch
	2.17	2.85	3.90
	2.19	2.86	3.79	Watch
	2.19	2.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)	2.85 ↓ (2.86)	3.71 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
42.3%

Draw
32.6%

Deportivo Maipú
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

32.7%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 9. Albertengo L. 7. Cainelli N. 5. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 4. Flores L. 8. Jourdan F. 10. Moreno M. 11. Moscoloni L. 6. Ramos N. 3. Wuattier E.	1. Galardi N. (G) 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 8. Bonfigli M. 3. de la Reta J. 4. Faggioli L. 9. Giacone J. 11. Gobetto J. 5. Mansilla G. (C) 2. Paulini S. 7. Saccone F. 10. Silva T.
Substitutes
16. Fernandez M. 12. Martinez R. (G) 13. Mondino V. 18. Obando A. 15. Pepino E. 20. Quiroga M. 19. Rodriguez A. 14. Solveyra A. 17. Torrens J.	20. Barrera V. 19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Ferreyra T. 17. Nazar J. 14. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 16. Vera J. 18. Viguet M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Silva T. ⚽, Galardi N. (A),
34', Bonfigli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Jourdan F. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
46', Moscoloni L. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Obando A. ⚽, Moreno M. (A),
58', 1 - 2, Silva T. ⚽, Giacone J. (A),
64', Giacone J. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
68', Cainelli N. ↓, Torrens J. ↑,
74', Silva T. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
74', Bonfigli M. ↓, Viguet M. ↑,
80', Moreno M. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
80', Capurro J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
83', 🟨,
85', Fernandez G. 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, Viguet M. ⚽, Vera J. (A),
90+1', Saccone F. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Atlético Rafaela has had a series of away games.

Recently, Deportivo Maipú has had a series of home games.

Atlético Rafaela might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético de Rafaela - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.07.26	Club Almagro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
23.06.26	Nueva Chicago - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Patronato Parana - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTWL
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.07.26	Deportivo Maipú - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
07.06.26	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.26	Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1
17.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú	2:0
07.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1
02.05.22	Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0

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