Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	5
	1.82	3.1	4.4
	1.87	3.1	4.5
	1.82	3.3	5.17
	1.88	3.2	4.82
	1.83	3.1	4.5
	1.88	3.06	4.57
	1.83	3.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.85)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	4.72 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
50.5%

Draw
29.8%

Defensores Unidos
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

29.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

30.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grinovero A. (G) 4. Stizza J. 2. Kozlovsky N. 6. Jappert K. 3. Oliver F. 8. Portillo A. 5. Fissore M. 7. Capurro J. 9. Toldo F. 10. Albertengo L. 11. Berrondo A.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Ortigoza M. 2. Contreras M. 6. Mariatti M. 3. Olivera L. 8. Sivetti F. 5. Nizzo M. 7. Peralta M. 10. Guerra Brian 9. Velazquez J. (C) 11. Suarez J.
Substitutes
20. Albertengo G. 18. Biolatto L. 14. Bravo I. 19. Funez N. 13. Fuyana J. 15. Merlino L. 16. Tomatis B. 12. Turnes I. (G) 17. Vidal P.	14. Alarcon M. N. 12. Aquino M. (G) 20. Caballero F. 16. Cavagnero N. 18. Hernandez R. 19. Lonardi F. 13. Morales A. 15. Rapetti M. 17. Silva F.
Coaches
Pancaldo R.	Davio S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
39', Jappert K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Toldo F. ↓, Vidal P. ↑,
69', Guerra Brian ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
69', Berrondo A. ↓, Funez N. ↑,
69', Capurro J. ↓, Merlino L. ↑,
77', Stizza J. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
79', Suarez J. ↓, Cavagnero N. ↑,
81', Fissore M. ↓, Biolatto L. ↑,
89', Sivetti F. ↓, Lonardi F. ↑,
89', Peralta M. ↓, Caballero F. ↑,
90+2', Nizzo M. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Biolatto L. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 11).

Atlético de Rafaela has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Atlético de Rafaela is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.24	Deportivo Madryn - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Atlético de Rafaela - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Chaco For Ever - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.24	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Chaco For Ever - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	3:2 ✺
13.04.24	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWTT

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