The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Rafaela 30.7%
Draw 35.6%
Defensores de Belgrano 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
34.1%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
33.6%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Rafaela's form might have worsened.
Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensores de Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Defensores will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 9. Albertengo L. 5. Capurro J. 8. Cavallaro J. 4. Flores L. 7. Jourdan F. 10. Obando A. 11. Quiroga M. 2. Solveyra A. 3. Wuattier E. 6. Yegros U.
1. Medina A. (G) 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Ardaiz J. 10. Benitez A. 2. De Tomasso J. 6. Gigli L. 4. Gomez B. 8. Gutierrez I. 5. Jerez Silva L. 11. Moyano P. 3. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
17. Fernandez M. 15. Gonzalez A. 12. Martinez R. (G) 16. Morello M. 13. Moscoloni L. 18. Pardo M. 19. Protti I. 14. Ramos N. 20. Rodriguez A.
16. Acosta D. A. I. 15. Borsotti N. 17. Ciccolini L. 14. Gamarra G. 18. Garcia D. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 13. Perez I. 20. Tcherkaski F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Flores L. 🟨,
21', Obando A. 🟨,
31', Aguirre E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Jourdan F. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
59', Quiroga M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
68', Cavallaro J. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
71', Benitez A. ↓, Moyano P. ↑,
74', Gutierrez I. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
79', Garcia D. 🟨,
82', Moyano P. 🟨,
87', Capurro J. ↓, Moscoloni L. ↑,
87', Obando A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
87', Gonzalez E. ↓, Borsotti N. ↑,
87', Ardaiz J. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
87', Aguirre E. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético de Rafaela - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.37%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Bergia M. (G) 
Ardaiz J. 
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