Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.72	3.05	4.85	Watch
	1.72	3	5.21
	1.52	3.08	10.62	Watch
	1.69	3.14	5.3
	1.81	3.23	4.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	5.72 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
54%

Draw
29.8%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

31.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 10. Affranchino F. 9. Albertengo L. 7. Aquino D. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 4. Fuyana J. 11. Pastorelli A. 3. Ponce F. 5. Soloa F. 6. Utrera N.	1. Palleres T. (G) 10. Ciavarelli I. 6. Fiol F. 2. Flores F. 3. Gallo M. 5. Martinez G. 8. Medina R. 7. Piersigilli S. 11. Salvaggio M. 4. Samaniego L. 9. Sosa G.
Substitutes
20. Alfano A. 12. Bergia M. (G) 16. De la Cuesta G. 14. Jaime D. 19. Leineker C. 17. Marchiori T. 18. Miranda B. 15. Rojas T. 13. Stizza J.	20. Acuna V. 17. Almada L. 16. Caseres F. 18. Gomez N. 13. Guglielmo A. 15. Gutierrez M. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 14. Iturrieta J. 19. Pavone N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Albertengo L. 🟨,
13', 🟨,
14', Fiol F. 🟨,
17', Sosa G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 🟨,
58', Soloa F. ↓, Marchiori T. ↑,
58', Aquino D. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
58', Pastorelli A. ↓, Alfano A. ↑,
75', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', Affranchino F. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Alfano A. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 0, Miranda B. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Rafaela is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.07.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Bartolomé Mitre	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Boca Unidos - Atlético de Rafaela	2:2 ✺
13.06.25	Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTTT
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTLT

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