Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 5

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)


	Atlético de Rafaela		San Martín de San Juan

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.65	3.75	Watch
	2.3	2.68	3.6
	2.31	2.69	4.18
	2.43	2.61	3.71	Watch
	2.38	2.6	3.5
	2.3	2.7	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.49)	2.66 ↑ (2.64)	3.75 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
40%

Draw
35.1%

San Martín de San Juan
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

35.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 25%). San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergia M. (G) 4. Solveyra A. 2. Ramos N. 6. Ponce F. 3. Wuattier E. 8. Cainelli N. 5. Soloa F. 11. Pardo M. 7. Moreno M. 9. Albertengo L. 10. Obando A.	1. Velazco M. (G) 4. Murillo F. 2. Osores M. 6. Aguilera E. 3. Zuliani H. 8. Jaurena S. 5. Pelaitay N. 11. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 7. Hachen G. 9. Funez N. 10. Gonzalez S.
Substitutes
13. Fernandez G. 14. Flores L. 19. Leineker C. 12. Martinez R. (G) 17. Nouet F. 20. Protti I. 18. Quiroga M. 16. Rojas T. 15. Suarez R.	17. Acosta G. 19. Acosta N. 15. Alvarez D. 12. Diaz Robles S. (G) 18. Lattanzio C. 13. Marchio J. 16. Monje L. 14. Nadalin F. 20. Rossi G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ramos N. 🟨,
16', Funez N. 🟨,
26', Zuliani H. 🟨,
31', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Obando A. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
51', Aguilera E. ↓, Marchio J. ↑,
53', Soloa F. 🟨,
68', Pardo M. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
71', Gonzalez S. ↓, Lattanzio C. ↑,
71', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Monje L. ↑,
76', Moreno M. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
76', Albertengo L. ↓, Protti I. ↑,
78', Murillo F. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Protti I. ⚽,
85', Jaurena S. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
85', Pelaitay N. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
90+2', Cainelli N. ↓, Suarez R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1.

Atlético Rafaela might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

San Martín de San Juan - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.14%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Temperley	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.12.25	Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWW
- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.26	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.02.26	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Madryn	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.26	San Martín de San Juan - Güemes	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Chacarita Juniors - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.11.25	Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.24	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	0:0
28.04.24	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1
28.08.22	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	3:0
24.07.21	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	0:2
12.03.21	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	4:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.11.16	San Martín de San Juan - Atlético de Rafaela	0:3
05.03.16	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	1:2

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