Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.75	4.1	Watch
	2.08	2.78	3.95	Watch
	2.19	2.85	4.28
	2.03	2.79	4.71	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.9
	2.14	2.79	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.23)	2.78 ↓ (2.81)	4.17 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
44.1%

Draw
33.6%

Chacarita Juniors
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

32.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Chacarita will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 7. Alvarez F. 2. Moreira R. 4. Garcia M. 6. Galeano L. 3. Arguello D. 8. Castro Ponce T. 5. Previtali N. 10. Puch J. 9. Quintana A. 11. Rodriguez I.	1. Bologna E. (G) 4. Facello F. 2. Velazquez J. (C) 6. Mottes G. 3. Pantaleone N. 8. Perez T. 5. Mellado M. 10. Cuello A. 11. Calderara B. 7. Melendez M. 9. Barbieri J.
Substitutes
18. Aquino J. 17. Benitez K. 20. Castro F. 19. Fedele L. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 16. Mendoza G. 14. Ostachuk P. 15. Rivero B. 13. Rojas T.	12. Anchoverri S. (G) 16. Bustos L. 20. Cabral F. 14. Chaves N. 19. Cristaldo F. 18. Cuevas J. 15. Dell Aquila N. 13. Leyendeker M. 17. Sanabria M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Galeano L. ↓, Rojas T. ↑,
17', Facello F. 🟨,
25', Cuello A. 🟨,
33', Garcia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
58', Barbieri J. ↓, Cabral F. ↑,
58', Mellado M. ↓, Bustos L. ↑,
58', Calderara B. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
68', Alvarez F. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
68', Puch J. ↓, Fedele L. ↑,
68', Arguello D. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
69', Perez T. ↓, Cuevas J. ↑,
81', 🟨,
81', Facello F. 🟨,
83', Rojas T. 🟨,
87', Rodriguez I. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
90+2', Aquino J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Chacarita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.26	San Martín de San Juan - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.04.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Temperley - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.08.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chacarita Juniors	0:1
08.04.23	Chacarita Juniors - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1
08.08.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chacarita Juniors	1:1
26.07.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chacarita Juniors	0:3
16.03.21	Chacarita Juniors - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1
Argentinian Primera B
02.10.14	Chacarita Juniors - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0

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