Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)


	Chacarita Juniors		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	3.25	Watch
	2.38	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.51	2.96	3.27
	2.48	2.84	3.24	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.4	2.78	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.45)	2.85 ↓ (2.91)	3.18 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
38.3%

Draw
32.5%

Gimnasia y Tiro
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

32.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

31.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bologna E. (G) 4. Facello F. 2. Velazquez J. (C) 6. Mottes G. 3. Pantaleone N. 8. Perez T. 5. Mellado M. 10. Cuello A. 11. Calderara B. 7. Melendez M. 9. Barbieri J.	1. Cosentino F. (G) 2. Guanini M. 6. Soto G. 3. Montoya L. 4. Galetto J. 8. Montoya W. 5. Birge M. (C) 7. Aguirre J. 10. Rinaldi N. 9. Gordillo L. 11. Rojas F.
Substitutes
15. Bustos L. 20. Cabral F. 14. Chaves N. 16. Cristaldo F. 13. Leyendeker M. 12. Losas F. (G) 17. Montenegro L. S. 19. Ramirez S. 18. Sanabria M.	18. Banega T. 15. Capano J. 20. Contin N. 14. Gordillo J. 13. Oviedo J. C. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 17. Rocca J. 19. Sivetti F. 16. Villarreal R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Pantaleone N. ⚽, Cuello A. (A),
24', Cuello A. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Facello F. ⚽, Calderara B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Barbieri J. 🟨,
62', Rinaldi N. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
63', Calderara B. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
63', Melendez M. ↓, Montenegro L. S. ↑,
68', Montoya W. 🟨,
69', Barbieri J. ↓, Cabral F. ↑,
70', Facello F. ↓, Leyendeker M. ↑,
70', Birge M. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
70', Montoya W. ↓, Banega T. ↑,
72', Montoya L. 🟨,
75', Sivetti F. 🟨,
75', Gordillo L. 🟨,
76', Mellado M. 🟨,
77', Rojas F. ↓, Rocca J. ↑,
77', Montoya L. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
88', Mellado M. ↓, Bustos L. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Chacarita has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gimnasia y Tiro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Gimnasia y Tiro has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Chacarita Juniors - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.04.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Güemes - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLL
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.04.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Temperley	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLLTW

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