Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 13

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Bejas N. (Arg)


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.8	Watch
	2.6	2.87	2.75
	2.6	2.85	2.85
	2.7	2.9	3.05
	2.62	2.88	2.7
	2.7	3.06	2.77
	2.65	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.33)	2.92 ↓ (3.02)	2.82 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
35%

Draw
31.9%

Deportivo Riestra
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atlanta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	Racing de Córdoba - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Aldosivi - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
17.04.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Chacarita Juniors - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
03.04.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Mitre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWTL
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	4:2 ✺
17.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Mitre	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Rivadavia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.02.22	Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
31.08.21	Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:1
18.04.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	2:2
Argentinian Primera B
12.02.19	Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1
04.09.18	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	0:1
29.05.17	Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0
16.11.16	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	0:1

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