Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 24

Date: 22 July 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports
Usa	FuboTV
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Mitre

	1	X	2
	2	2.88	4.5	Watch
	2	2.75	4.1
	2.1	2.85	4	Watch
	2.1	2.76	4.68
	2.05	2.74	4.7	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4.5
	2.01	2.85	4.36	Watch
	2.01	2.85	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.26)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)	4.41 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
45.8%

Draw
33.1%

Mitre
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

33.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

34.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Buenos Aires's performance.

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	36.8%	10.5%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Mitre will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (C) 4. Rosales P. 2. Gissi D. 6. Evangelista F. 3. Silva T. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Arce C. 10. Gonzalez M. 11. Marinucci L. 9. Costantino I. 7. Medina N.	1. Ledesma J. (G) 2. Piris O. 6. Melillan F. 3. Ferreyra T. 4. Diaz C. 8. Kabalin M. 5. Alessandroni J. (C) 11. Sanchez M. 7. Castro T. 9. Cabral F. 10. Antilef A.
Substitutes
19. Bisanz F. 18. Esmay V. 13. Fara C. 12. Galvan B. (G) 17. Lattanzio C. 14. Mosca N. 20. Paterson R. 15. Requena J. 16. Vega G.	14. Agorreca N. 18. Arevalos N. 20. Diaz G. 12. Etcheverry B. (G) 15. Ferrari M. 16. Isa Luna K. 17. Mansilla A. 19. Posse F. 13. Wiechniak F.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Sciacqua M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
29', Marinucci L. ↓, Bisanz F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Rosales P. ↓, Lattanzio C. ↑,
64', Antilef A. ↓, Posse F. ↑,
64', Ferreyra T. ↓, Arevalos N. ↑,
64', Kabalin M. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
67', Melillan F. 🟨,
71', Alessandroni J. ↓, Wiechniak F. ↑,
74', Arce C. ↓, Requena J. ↑,
74', Gonzalez M. ↓, Vega G. ↑,
83', Castro T. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Atlanta is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.24	Aldosivi - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Colón - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
24.06.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	All Boys - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTWL
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.24	Mitre - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Deportivo Madryn - Mitre	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Mitre - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	San Telmo - Mitre	0:0 ✺
09.06.24	Chaco For Ever - Mitre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.24	Mitre - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0
06.08.23	Mitre - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0
03.04.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Mitre	0:1
20.06.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Mitre	0:1
05.11.21	Mitre - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1
10.07.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Mitre	0:0
15.02.20	Mitre - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1

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