The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chacarita Juniors 41%
Draw 32.8%
Atlanta Buenos Aires 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
36.7%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
36.6%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chacarita Juniors's performance.
Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chacarita Juniors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Chacarita Juniors - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Losas F. (C) 4. Leyendeker M. 2. Vittor S. 6. Migliore T. 3. Chaves N. 7. Melendez M. 5. Perez T. 11. Sanabria M. 8. Cuero M. 9. Dominguez A. 10. Guanca C.
1. Rago F. (G) 7. Garcia M. 2. Moreira R. 4. Galeano L. 6. Rojas T. 3. Arguello D. 10. Rodriguez I. 5. Rivero B. 8. Castro Ponce T. 11. Dramisino A. 9. Quintana A.
Substitutes
13. Acosta S. 18. Brun L. 16. Bustos L. 14. Calderara B. 19. Cristaldo F. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 20. Gerez E. 17. Maldonado A. 15. Perdomo L.
18. Bisanz F. 20. Castro F. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 13. Mendoza G. 19. Miranda G. 17. Morales A. 14. Ostachuk P. 15. Sosa R. 16. Urtasun Nahuel
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Dominguez A. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Guanca C. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Moreira R. ⚽, Dramisino A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Arguello D. 🟨,
58', Perez T. ↓, Perdomo L. ↑,
66', Sanabria M. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
66', Migliore T. ↓, Acosta S. ↑,
71', Galeano L. ↓, Ostachuk P. ↑,
71', Dramisino A. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
76', Perdomo L. 🟨,
82', Vittor S. ↓, Gerez E. ↑,
86', Arguello D. ↓, Miranda G. ↑,
86', Rodriguez I. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 2.
Chacarita is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Atlanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Chacarita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chacarita could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Chacarita won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).