Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 18

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Zamora D. (Arg)


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.4
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.35	2.85	3.4
	2.35	2.9	3.65
	2.2	2.88	3.4
	2.28	3.04	3.45
	2.27	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)	2.96 ↑ (2.92)	3.41 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
41%

Draw
31.6%

Estudiantes de Caseros
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

32%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	64.3%	7.1%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sumavil N. (G) 4. Camargo F. 2. Gelos V. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Mosca N. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Duarte K. 10. Galeano J. 7. Pavia K. 9. Mazzola N. 11. Becker D.	1. Vega M. (G) 4. Minervino D. 2. Lorenzon F. 6. Felissia L. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Mayorga S. 5. Lugo M. 7. Parisi L. J. 10. Acosta E. 9. Bolzicco T. 11. Garnerone M.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre A. 20. Bisanz F. 15. Bogado M. 16. Camisassa B. 12. Fernandez P. (G) 18. Ferreira J. 19. Medina N. 17. Mouche P. 14. Pinto M.	12. Amade L. (G) 18. Blanco T. 15. Bottino G. 16. Brinone S. 19. Fagundez F. 17. Gonzalez J. 14. Lopez D. 13. Monzon S. 20. Nunez L.
Coaches
Giganti M.	Sara J.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2.

Atlanta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches CA Estudiantes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlanta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.06.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
27.05.23	Quilmes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
22.05.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLT
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.23	Tristán Suárez - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
15.05.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
10.05.23	Barracas Central - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.02.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0
03.09.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0
30.10.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0
05.07.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1
24.01.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
18.12.20	Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:3
28.10.19	Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2

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