Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.50	5.75
	1.62	3.40	5.75
	1.64	3.30	5.20	Watch
	1.63	3.54	6.66
	1.69	3.44	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.50	6.15
	1.63	3.53	5.80
	1.59	3.40	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.45 ↑ (3.41)	5.8 ↓ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
57.1%

Draw
26.9%

Güemes
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

26.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

26%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Güemes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 2. Moreira R. 4. Garcia M. 6. Rojas T. 3. Arguello D. 8. Castro Ponce T. 5. Rivero B. 7. Alvarez F. 10. Rodriguez I. 11. Dramisino A. 9. Quintana A.	1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Bordon A. 2. Martinez M. 6. Melillan F. 3. Rizzi F. 8. Benitez M. 5. Guinazu L. 11. Leineker C. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J. 10. Pugliese G.
Substitutes
17. Bisanz F. 20. Castro F. 13. Galeano L. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 16. Mendoza G. 18. Morales A. 14. Ostachuk P. 19. Puch J. 15. Romero F.	18. Farrera S. 20. Gerez B. 17. Gerez M. 13. Gonzalez A. (G) 14. Juarez J. 15. Ortigoza I. 12. Palleres T. (G) 16. Pinto A. 19. Veliz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Quintana A. ⚽, Alvarez F. (A),
40', Rizzi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Moreira R. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Dramisino A. ⚽, Quintana A. (A),
59', Rizzi F. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
59', Leineker C. ↓, Gerez B. ↑,
60', Guinazu L. 🟨,
64', Rojas T. 🟨,
68', Castro Ponce T. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
69', Dramisino A. ↓, Puch J. ↑,
72', Bordon A. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
76', Rodriguez I. ↓, Bisanz F. ↑,
77', Sala S. G. 🟨,
87', Alvarez F. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
87', Quintana A. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
90', Martinez M. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlanta is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.09.26	Chacarita Juniors - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
26.08.26	Patronato Parana - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nueva Chicago - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWL
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.26	Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Güemes - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Chacarita Juniors - Güemes	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mitre - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Güemes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:2
06.09.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Güemes	1:0
03.05.25	Güemes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0
19.02.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Güemes	3:1

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