Match Info

Date: 3 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.87	Watch
	2.65	2.75	2.9
	2.8	2.63	2.8
	2.65	2.7	2.8
	2.88	2.69	3.09
	2.7	2.62	2.88
	2.71	2.91	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.79)	2.74 ↑ (2.68)	2.86 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
33.9%

Draw
33.8%

Instituto Córdoba
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

34.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

35.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	55.9%	17.6%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). Instituto will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 55.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 31 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Atlanta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Instituto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Instituto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.06.22	Sacachispas - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
20.06.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Mitre	0:1 ✺
14.06.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
03.06.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
28.05.22	Quilmes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLLW
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.22	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
17.06.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Instituto Córdoba	0:4 ✺
11.06.22	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
05.06.22	Guillermo Brown - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
01.06.22	Instituto Córdoba - Tristán Suárez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTLW

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