Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Presidente Peron (Cordoba)

Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)


	Instituto Córdoba		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.77	3.1	4.8
	1.7	3.1	5.75
	1.77	3.1	4.7
	1.79	3.13	5.84
	1.78	2.9	5.25
	1.79	3.08	4.75
	1.8	3.15	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.72)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	5.14 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto Córdoba
52.2%

Draw
29.8%

Estudiantes de Caseros
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

28.4%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

28.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The chances for Estudiantes de Caseros have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: Instituto Córdoba will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Instituto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CA Estudiantes is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Instituto is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Instituto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Instituto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.11.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Instituto Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
10.10.22	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	3:1 ✺
03.10.22	Deportivo Morón - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTWL
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.11.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.11.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Instituto Córdoba	0:0
24.06.22	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0

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