The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 56.1%
Draw 27.8%
Club Almagro 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
30.2%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
29.5%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Patronato Parana - Club Almagro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (G) 7. Cortes B. 9. Diaz D. 2. Diaz G. (C) 3. Heredia F. 11. Pereyra V. L. 6. Piccioni S. 5. Picco A. 4. Salas J. 8. Salega G. 10. Soldano F.
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 10. Bustamante F. 8. Bustos J. 2. Chamorro S. 9. De La Vega F. 4. Flores J. 11. Macies T. 5. Marchioni J. 6. Negro B. 7. Orlando J. 3. Tolosa N.
Substitutes
20. Attis T. 16. Barinaga J. P. 17. Bravo B. 13. Evangelista F. 18. Genez N. 14. Meritello F. 15. Moreyra F. 19. Reynaga R. 12. Rivasseau F. (G)
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 19. Dornell T. 16. Fernandes J. 18. Lopez T. 13. Marco F. 17. Martinez E. 20. Salto C. 15. Silcan E. 14. Vitale J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Orlando J. (Penalty Awarded),
21', Pereyra V. L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', De La Vega F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diaz D. ↓, Bravo B. ↑,
46', Salas J. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
46', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Meritello F. ↑,
46', Salega G. ↓, Moreyra F. ↑,
47', Bustos J. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Orlando J. ⚽,
59', Piccioni S. 🟨,
61', Cortes B. 🟨,
67', Macies T. 🟨,
69', Bustos J. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
75', De La Vega F. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
75', Bustamante F. ↓, Vitale J. ↑,
78', Soldano F. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
80', Negro B. 🟨,
84', Reynaga R. 🟨,
86', Tolosa N. ↓, Silcan E. ↑,
86', Orlando J. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 13).
Recent performances by Patronato have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Almagro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Patronato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Patronato is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Usa
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Sosa A. (G) 
Cortes B. 
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