Match Info

Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto Antonio Candini (Cordoba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.85	5.25	Watch
	1.88	2.88	4.75	Watch
	1.93	2.92	5.48
	1.89	2.87	5.21	Watch
	1.89	2.88	5.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.79)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)	5.18 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
49.5%

Draw
32.5%

Patronato Parana
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

30.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

29.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. E Río Cuarto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Ruiz M. 6. Antonini J. 2. Maffini G. (C) 3. Angelini L. 8. Fenoglio V. 5. Cabrera A. 10. Gonzalez T. 7. Gonzalez L. 9. Ferreira J. 11. Garnerone M.	1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Diaz G. 2. Diaz F. N. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 3. Escobar I. 8. Barinaga J. 5. Gallucci S. 10. Rueda M. 7. Castro F. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Barolin J.
Substitutes
12. Bigo J. (G) 14. Cobos F. 16. Cuello A. 20. Fontana A. 19. Galvan F. 18. Morales A. 15. Nelle S. 13. Ojeda S. 17. Valiente M.	14. Asis G. 16. Enrique M. 12. Mazza J. (G) 17. Moreno E. 13. Navas J. 19. Pardo M. 18. Pereyra V. L. 15. Picco A. R. 20. Sombra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Bellatti S. D. N. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Garnerone M. (Pen),
20', 2 - 0, Gonzalez T. ⚽,
21', Gallucci S. 🟨,
21', Angelini L. 🟨,
25', Bellatti S. D. N. ↓, Pereyra V. L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
49', 2 - 1, Diaz F. N. ⚽,
51', Diaz F. N. 🟨,
56', Ferreira J. ↓, Galvan F. ↑,
66', Garnerone M. ↓, Valiente M. ↑,
66', Angelini L. ↓, Cobos F. ↑,
66', Gonzalez T. ↓, Nelle S. ↑,
74', Barolin J. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
82', Gallucci S. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
82', Castro F. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
86', Gonzalez L. ↓, Ojeda S. ↑,

Preview

E Río Cuarto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Patronato's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Patronato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, E Río Cuarto is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, E Río Cuarto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, E Río Cuarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.10.25	Central Norte - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Chaco For Ever - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Mitre	1:0 ✺
08.09.25	Colón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLWW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	San Miguel - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Patronato Parana - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Racing de Córdoba - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Patronato Parana	2:1
14.04.23	Patronato Parana - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1

Upcoming Matches