The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 34.1%
Draw 33.3%
Patronato Parana 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
31.9%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
30.6%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferro Carril Oeste's form might have worsened.
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patronato Parana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patronato Parana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Patronato (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Patronato (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Boolsen P. 6. Meritello F. 3. Ayala R. 8. Obradovich F. 5. Olguin G. 10. Campos M. 11. Garcia F. 7. Cuzzani F. 9. Parisi L.
1. Sosa A. (G) 2. Diaz G. 6. Moreyra F. 3. Escobar I. 4. Rueda M. 8. Barinaga J. 5. Gallucci S. 10. Sanchez G. 7. Castro F. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Marcioni J.
Substitutes
16. Ayala G. 18. Benegas M. 20. Esidin T. 15. Fernandez Pinto J. 12. Ferrario R. (G) 13. Lorenzo A. 14. Lucero L. 19. Montiel N. 17. Vallejos M.
20. Barolin J. 14. Bellatti S. D. N. 13. Diaz F. N. 17. Enrique M. 12. Mazza J. (G) 15. Navas J. 19. Pardo M. 18. Pereyra V. L. 16. Picco A. R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Garcia F. ⚽,
21', Marcioni J. ↓, Pereyra V. L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
46', Sanchez G. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
52', Cuzzani F. ↓, Esidin T. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Barolin J. ⚽,
62', Garcia F. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Olguin G. ⚽,
70', Campos M. ↓, Ayala G. ↑,
70', Obradovich F. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Esidin T. ⚽,
77', Castro F. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
77', Barinaga J. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
84', Montiel N. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
Argentina
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Monetti F. (G) 
Garcia F. 
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