Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)


	Atlanta United		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.7	2.2
	3	3.75	2.25	Watch
	3.01	3.95	2.25
	3.01	3.86	2.26
	2.8	3.8	2.2
	2.79	3.8	2.32	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.54)	3.79 ↑ (3.74)	2.24 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
32.5%

Draw
25%

Los Angeles
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Angeles's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Atlanta United - Los Angeles Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guzan B. (G) 11. Lennon B. 5. Gregersen S. 4. Abram L. 26. Wiley C. 9. Lobjanidze S. 6. Slisz B. 8. Muyumba T. 16. Silva X. 19. Rios D. 29. Thiare J.	1. Lloris H. (G) 3. Murillo J. 25. Chanot M. 33. Long A. 14. Palencia S. 11. Tillman T. 20. Atuesta E. 2. Campos O. 13. Olivera C. 19. Bogusz M. 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
10. Almada T. 22. Cohen J. (G) 35. Fortune A. 2. Hernandez R. 13. McCarty D. 21. Morales E. 20. Mosquera E. 30. Nick Firmino 3. Williams D.	21. Angel T. 42. Bombino L. 18. Duenas E. 24. Hollingshead R. 91. Muller L. 36. Musto T. 27. Ordaz N. 22. Romero A. (G) 4. Segura E.
Coaches
Pineda G.	Cherundolo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Atuesta E. 🟨,
26', Lennon B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Guzan B. 🟥,
62', Rios D. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
62', Silva X. ↓, Cohen J. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Bogusz M. ⚽,
72', Gregersen S. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
72', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
77', Mosquera E. 🟨,
81', Bogusz M. ↓, Duenas E. ↑,
81', Atuesta E. 🟥,
84', Thiare J. ↓, Nick Firmino ↑,
89', Olivera C. ↓, Segura E. ↑,
90+7', Bouanga D. ↓, Muller L. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Atlanta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Los Angeles is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Atlanta: Almada T. (Injury) Giakoumakis G. (Injury) Williams D. (Injury) Wolff T. (Injury)

There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L. (Injury) Martinez D. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
US Open Cup
21.05.24	Charleston Battery - Atlanta United	0:1 penalties ✺
MLS
18.05.24	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Cincinnati - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Atlanta United - DC United	2:3 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.24	Atlanta United - Charlotte Independence	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLLW
- Los Angeles FC
US Open Cup
21.05.24	Los Angeles - Loudoun United	3:0 ✺
MLS
15.05.24	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Los Angeles - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:0 ✺
US Open Cup
08.05.24	Las Vegas Lights - Los Angeles	1:3 ✺
MLS
04.05.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
07.06.23	Los Angeles - Atlanta United	0:0
15.08.21	Atlanta United - Los Angeles	1:0
26.07.19	Los Angeles - Atlanta United	4:3
07.04.18	Atlanta United - Los Angeles	5:0

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