Match Info

MLS

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Atlanta United		DC United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.08	3.55	3.45	Watch
	2.16	3.49	3.61
	2.06	3.53	3.53	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	2.09	3.62	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.95)	3.46 ↓ (3.53)	3.47 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
45.4%

Draw
27.4%

DC United
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Atlanta United - DC United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 5. Gregersen S. 4. Mihaj E. 3. Baez E. 48. Sanchez C. 8. Muyumba T. 88. Galarza M. 59. Miranchuk Al. 9. Latte Lath E. 10. Almiron M. (C)	1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 3. Bartlett L. (C) 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 25. Hopkins J. 4. Peltola M. 23. Servania B. 7. Peglow 10. Gabriel Pirani 9. Baribo T.
Substitutes
7. Alzate S. 18. Amador P. 20. Brennan L. 47. Edwards M. 2. Hernandez R. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 11. Lobjanidze S. 22. Picault F. 30. Togashi C.	12. Antley C. 26. Bono A. (G) 30. Clark C. 77. Kijima H. 27. Markovic N. 17. Murrell J. 13. Nealis S. 8. Stroud J. 48. Turner G.
Coaches
Martino G.	Weiler R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Muyumba T. 🟨,
65', Sanchez C. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
67', Peglow ↓, Clark C. ↑,
68', Bartlett L. 🟨,
74', Galarza M. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
78', Hopkins J. ↓, Turner G. ↑,
78', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Kijima H. ↑,
88', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
88', Baez E. ↓, Amador P. ↑,
89', Servania B. ↓, Nealis S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.

Atlanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

DC United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atlanta: Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Reilly W. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in DC United: Herrera A. (Leg Injury) Karamoko H. (Illness) Munteanu L. (Lower-Body Injury) Segal G. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 2.4:1.7).

Outrights of MLS for now

DC United: 1.05%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
MLS
14.03.26	Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlanta United - Real Salt Lake	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cincinnati - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Atlanta United - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLT
- DC United
MLS
14.03.26	Chicago Fire - DC United	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	DC United - Inter Miami	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Austin FC - DC United	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	DC United - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Portland Timbers - DC United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
18.10.25	Atlanta United - DC United	1:1
05.07.25	DC United - Atlanta United	0:0
CONCACAF League Cup
26.07.24	Atlanta United - DC United	3:4 penalties
MLS
19.06.24	DC United - Atlanta United	0:1
11.05.24	Atlanta United - DC United	2:3
20.09.23	DC United - Atlanta United	1:1
10.06.23	Atlanta United - DC United	3:1

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