Match Info

USA: US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)


	Las Vegas Lights		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.55	Watch
	4.6	4	1.55
	5	4.2	1.55
	5.45	4.13	1.56
	5.45	4.14	1.53
	5	4.2	1.44
	5.23	4.45	1.54	Watch
	5	4.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (3.21)	4.2 ↑ (3.75)	1.53 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
18.1%

Draw
21.9%

Los Angeles
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

24%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.4%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Vegas Lights's form might have worsened.

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Angeles's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Las Vegas Lights - Los Angeles Predictions

Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ammeter N. (G) 20. Smart S. 22. Hafferty J. 4. Garcia F. 72. Samake G. 26. Ngando J. 33. Nigro G. 14. Asante S. 8. Gannon C. 27. Noel V. 10. Azcona E.	22. Romero A. (G) 14. Palencia S. 4. Segura E. 33. Long A. (C) 2. Campos O. 11. Tillman T. 20. Atuesta E. 18. Duenas E. 23. Kamara K. 91. Muller L. 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
6. Adams C. 9. Alba R. 56. Arozarena R. (G) 24. Howell M. 23. Klimenta E. 77. Romero A. 3. Sargis H.	19. Bogusz M. 25. Chanot M. 3. Murillo J. 31. Ochoa D. (G) 13. Olivera C. 27. Ordaz N. 6. Sanchez I.
Coaches
Sanchez D.	Cherundolo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Noel V. 🟨,
21', Atuesta E. 🟨,
45+2', Azcona E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 0 - 1, Kamara K. ⚽, Tillman T. (A),
56', 1 - 1, Smart S. ⚽, Azcona E. (A),
63', Muller L. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
63', Kamara K. ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Olivera C. ⚽,
79', Tillman T. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
79', Atuesta E. ↓, Ordaz N. ↑,
81', Samake G. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
82', Asante S. ↓, Alba R. ↑,
82', Smart S. ↓, Klimenta E. ↑,
89', Sanchez I. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Olivera C. ⚽, Long A. (A),

Preview

Las Vegas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Los Angeles is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Los Angeles is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
04.05.24	Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Charleston Battery - Las Vegas Lights	6:0 ✺
20.04.24	Las Vegas Lights - Rhode Island	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Las Vegas Lights - Spokane Velocity	2:1 ET ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Los Angeles FC
MLS
04.05.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Los Angeles - Portland Timbers	3:2 ✺
20.04.24	Los Angeles - New York Red Bulls	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Los Angeles - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTTW

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