Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)

Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	St. Louis City		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.68	3.7	2.48	Watch
	2.76	3.74	2.52
	2.69	3.66	2.45	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.4
	2.74	3.74	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.82)	3.64 ↑ (3.63)	2.47 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
35.3%

Draw
26.1%

Los Angeles
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.6%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

St. Louis City - Los Angeles Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (C) 5. MacNaughton L. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 99. Orozco J. 10. Lowen E. 24. Edelman D. 14. Totland T. 77. Jeong S. 16. Cordova S. 17. Hartel M.	1. Lloris H. (G) 21. Raposo R. 33. Long A. 91. Nkosi Tafari 4. Segura E. 8. Delgado M. 11. Tillman T. 66. Choiniere M. 19. Boyd T. 7. Son Heung-Min (C) 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
11. Becher S. 27. Fall F. 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 4. Mbacke M. 80. McSorley B. 28. Perez M. 20. Rafael Santos 36. Teuchert C.	17. Ebobisse J. 46. Eustaquio S. 12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 30. Martinez D. 27. Ordaz N. 5. Porteous R. 18. Shaffelburg J. 29. Smolyakov A.
Coaches
Damet Y.	Dos Santos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Totland T. ⚽, Lowen E. (A),
10', Orozco J. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jeong S. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
49', Totland T. 🟨,
58', Segura E. 🟨,
60', Polvara D. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Rafael Santos ⚽,
66', Lowen E. ↓, Fall F. ↑,
67', Long A. 🟨,
70', Boyd T. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽, Nkosi Tafari (A),
76', Becher S. 🟨,
77', Tillman T. ↓, Ordaz N. ↑,
77', Segura E. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
77', Choiniere M. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
82', Raposo R. 🟨,
85', Raposo R. ↓, Hollingshead R. ↑,
90', Cordova S. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, St. Louis City has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu (Knee Injury) Durkin C. (Red Card) Ostrak T. (Injury)

There will not play in Los Angeles: Boudri A. (Leg Injury) Dellavalle L. (Knee Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in St. Louis City: Glover C. (Injury) Mbacke M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Los Angeles: Palencia S. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
MLS
09.05.26	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Austin FC - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	Chicago Fire - St. Louis City	1:2 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWLL
- Los Angeles FC
MLS
10.05.26	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	1:4 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
06.05.26	Toluca - Los Angeles	4:0 ✺
MLS
02.05.26	San Diego - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
29.04.26	Los Angeles - Toluca	2:1 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Minnesota United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.03.26	Los Angeles - St. Louis City	2:0
27.09.25	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:3
27.04.25	Los Angeles - St. Louis City	2:2
02.10.24	Los Angeles - St. Louis City	1:0
15.05.24	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:2
20.09.23	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:0
12.07.23	Los Angeles - St. Louis City	3:0

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