The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City 53.6%
Draw 24.3%
Atlanta United 22.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.6%
23.6%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
23.7%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for New York City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
New York City - Atlanta United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 6. Sands J. 22. O'Toole K. 21. O'Neill A. 8. Perea A. 26. Ojeda A. 7. Mercau N. 17. Wolf H. 16. Martinez A.
1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 27. Diaz P. 6. Alonso J. 47. Edwards M. 14. Amaro M. 59. Miranchuk Al. 11. Giuliano Galoppo 8. Muyumba T. 10. Almiron M. (C) 36. Embolo B.
Substitutes
88. Jones M. 20. Luighi 3. Miazga M. 55. Parks K. 34. Raul Gustavo 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 11. Talles Magno 9. Traore B.
7. Alzate S. 3. Baez E. 20. Brennan L. 35. Fortune A. 16. Gill A. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 22. Picault F. 48. Sanchez C. 19. Sergio Santos
Coaches
Jansen P.
Martino G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Gray T. 🟨,
11', Amaro M. 🟨,
28', Martinez A. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
34', Diaz P. 🟨,
43', Talles Magno 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', O'Neill A. ↓, Parks K. ↑,
64', Ojeda A. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
68', Muyumba T. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Mercau N. ⚽,
74', Muyumba T. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
81', Edwards M. 🟨,
83', Edwards M. ↓, Baez E. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽,
90', Wolf H. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Traore B. ⚽, O'Toole K. (A),
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 12th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Recently, NY City has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Atlanta has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, NY City is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for NY City: Baiera D.
(Knee Injury)
Farnos A.
(Leg Injury)
Moralez M.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Atlanta: Chica D.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for NY City: Freese M.
(Arm Injury)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
Trewin K.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Atlanta: Reilly W.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY City has recorded 6 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:30 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NY City against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:8 goals (averaging 1.9:0.8 per game).
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Freese M. (G) 
Gray T. 
Thiago Martins (C) 
O'Toole K. 
O'Neill A. 
Ojeda A. 
Wolf H. 
Martinez A. 
Diaz P. 
Alonso J. 
Amaro M. 
Miranchuk Al. 
Muyumba T. 
Embolo B. 
Jones M. 
Romero T. (G) 
Traore B. 
Alzate S. 
Fortune A. 
Hibbert J. (G) 
Picault F. 
Jansen P. 
