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Current Win Probability
New York City 48.2%
Draw 25.8%
Atlanta United 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
25.6%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
26.1%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
New York City - Atlanta United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - NY City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
AH +0.75 - Atlanta (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
New York City will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Atlanta (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Romero T. (G) 19. Tanasijevic S. 80. Haak J. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 5. Risa B. 11. Fernandez J. 8. Perea A. 10. Moralez M. 26. Ojeda A. 9. Bakrar M. 17. Wolf H.
1. Guzan B. (C) 11. Lennon B. 47. Edwards M. 3. Williams D. 2. Hernandez R. 18. Amador P. 9. Lobjanidze S. 43. Klich M. 28. Reilly W. 59. Miranchuk Al. 14. Thiare J.
Substitutes
38. Baiera A. 29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 99. Garfield Reid S. 24. Gray T. 23. Murray M. 22. O'Toole K. 18. Ranjitsingh G. (G) 32. Shore J.
44. Abram L. 10. Almiron M. 20. Brennan L. 24. Cobb N. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 19. Latte Lath E. 21. Morales E. 48. Sanchez C. 66. Sessock N.
Coaches
Jansen P.
Deila R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Moralez M. ⚽, Wolf H. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Bakrar M. ⚽, Perea A. (A),
57', 3 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Moralez M. (A),
59', 4 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Haak J. (A),
62', Hernandez R. ↓, Abram L. ↑,
62', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
62', Williams D. ↓, Cobb N. ↑,
73', Risa B. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
73', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
73', Ojeda A. ↓, Cavallo N. ↑,
78', Bakrar M. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
78', Thiare J. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
83', Fernandez J. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
88', Amador P. ↓, Sessock N. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
There will not play in NY City: Freese M.
(International duty)
Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Martinez A.
(International duty)
Parks K.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J.
(Groin Injury)
Fortune A.
(International duty)
Mosquera E.
(Thigh Injury)
Muyumba T.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J.
(Leg Injury)
O'Toole K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
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Romero T. (G) 
Tanasijevic S. 
Haak J. 
Thiago Martins (C) 
Risa B. 
Fernandez J. 
Bakrar M. 
Wolf H. 
Williams D. 
Hernandez R. 
Amador P. 
Lobjanidze S. 
Klich M. 
Miranchuk Al. 
Thiare J. 
Garfield Reid S. 
Ranjitsingh G. (G) 
Abram L. 
Almiron M. 
Latte Lath E. 
Morales E. 
Jansen P. 
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