Match Info

MLS

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Referee: Montero R. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Atlanta United		San Diego

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.8	2.55	Watch
	2.48	3.7	2.62
	2.5	3.95	2.63
	2.47	3.81	2.52	Watch
	2.51	3.89	2.66	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.63)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)	2.6 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
38.1%

Draw
25.3%

San Diego
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

27.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Atlanta United - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 50%). San Diego (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - San Diego (1.86) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 28.6%). San Diego (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Hibbert J. (G) 2. Hernandez R. 6. Berrocal J. 5. Gregersen S. 18. Amador P. 7. Alzate S. 99. Slisz B. 59. Miranchuk Al. 10. Almiron M. 14. Thiare J. 9. Lobjanidze S.	1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 17. McNair P. 27. Bombino L. 8. Valakari O. 6. Tverskov J. 14. de la Torre L. 10. Dreyer A. 90. Pellegrino A. 11. Lozano H.
Substitutes
20. Brennan L. 1. Guzan B. (G) 19. Latte Lath E. 11. Lennon B. 13. Leo Afonso 4. Mihaj E. 8. Muyumba T. 48. Sanchez C. 30. Togashi C.	21. Baird C. 20. Godoy A. 23. Harangi A. 2. Kumado W. 77. Mighten A. 25. Pilcher I. 13. Sisniega P. (G) 15. Soma P. 19. Vazquez D.
Coaches
Deila R.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Lozano H. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. ⚽, Lozano H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Almiron M. (Pen),
61', Pellegrino A. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
61', McNair P. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
61', de la Torre L. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
75', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
75', Thiare J. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
75', Hernandez R. ↓, Lennon B. ↑,
84', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Muyumba T. ↑,
84', Bombino L. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
90', Almiron M. 🟨,
90+5', Lozano H. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Atlanta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Diego is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Atlanta: Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Latte Lath E. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Negri F. (Lower-Body Injury) Verhoeven O. (Lower-Body Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlanta United - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
MLS
13.09.25	Atlanta United - Columbus Crew	4:5 ✺
30.08.25	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Atlanta United - Toronto FC	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Colorado Rapids - Atlanta United	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTLT
- San Diego FC
Club Friendly
16.09.25	San Diego - Tijuana	4:2 ✺
MLS
13.09.25	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Los Angeles - San Diego	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	San Diego - Portland Timbers	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWTW

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