Match Info

MLS

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA)

Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Los Angeles		San Diego

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.33	4.50	Watch
	1.66	4.20	4.33
	1.62	4.20	4.60
	1.70	4.54	4.66
	1.68	4.27	4.49	Watch
	1.66	4.45	4.45
	1.67	4.75	4.53	Watch
	1.63	4.30	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.51)	4.38 ↓ (4.6)	4.5 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles
57.3%

Draw
21.6%

San Diego
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

20.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Los Angeles - San Diego Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lloris H. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 5. Porteous R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 23. Cheberko Y. 11. Tillman T. 4. Segura E. 8. Delgado M. 19. Boyd T. 7. Son Heung-Min 99. Bouanga D.	1. dos Santos CJ (G) 3. Thorhallsson D. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 5. Sargeant K. 70. Alvarado Jr A. 6. Tverskov J. 8. Valakari O. 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 19. Vazquez D.
Substitutes
31. Carter C. (G) 66. Choiniere M. 17. Ebobisse J. 36. Guerra D. 33. Long A. 45. Nielsen K. 21. Raposo R. 18. Shaffelburg J. 22. Terry J.	27. Bombino L. 18. Ferree D. (G) 12. Gabriel Pirani 20. Godoy A. 77. Mighten A. 9. Morgan L. 25. Pilcher I. 33. Verhoeven O. 14. Zamble B. B.
Coaches
Dos Santos M.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Alvarado Jr A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Morgan L. ↓, Achouri E. ↑,
62', Segura E. 🟨,
65', Boyd T. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
65', Tillman T. ↓, Choiniere M. ↑,
73', Alvarado Jr A. ↓, Tverskov J. ↑,
73', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
75', Valakari O. 🟨,
80', Delgado M. 🟨,
84', Choiniere M. 🟨,
85', Ingvartsen M. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
85', Murphy I. ↓, McVey C. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Dreyer A. 🟨,
90', Hollingshead R. ↓, Raposo R. ↑,
90', Segura E. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
90+6', Dreyer A. 🟨,
90+7', Son Heung-Min 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Los Angeles has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Diego has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Diego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Los Angeles is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Los Angeles: Palencia S. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in San Diego: Sisniega P. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Los Angeles: Igor Jesus (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in San Diego: Pellegrino A. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Los Angeles will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Los Angeles won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Los Angeles - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.54%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles FC
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Los Angeles - Querétaro	2:1 penalties ✺
08.08.26	Toluca - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Los Angeles - Chivas Guadalajara	2:1 penalties ✺
MLS
01.08.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Los Angeles - Sporting Kansas City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWTW
- San Diego FC
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	San Diego - Puebla	3:2 ✺
06.08.26	Club América - San Diego	3:1 ✺
MLS
01.08.26	Minnesota United - San Diego	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	San Diego - FC Dallas	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Colorado Rapids - San Diego	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
02.05.26	San Diego - Los Angeles	2:2
31.08.25	Los Angeles - San Diego	1:2
29.03.25	San Diego - Los Angeles	3:2

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