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Current Win Probability
Atlanta United 33.5%
Draw 26.9%
Columbus Crew 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
26.7%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
26.3%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Atlanta United - Columbus Crew Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Columbus will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Atlanta (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 5. Gregersen S. 4. Mihaj E. 3. Baez E. 8. Muyumba T. 28. Reilly W. 7. Alzate S. 10. Almiron M. (C) 9. Latte Lath E. 59. Miranchuk Al.
28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 4. Camacho R. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 2. Herrera A. 20. Gomes A. 7. Chambost D. 27. Arfsten M. 9. Abou Ali W. 10. Rossi D.
Substitutes
18. Amador P. 6. Berrocal J. 47. Edwards M. 35. Fortune A. 2. Hernandez R. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 11. Lobjanidze S. 22. Picault F. 48. Sanchez C.
90. Akhundzade N. 17. Bangoura S. 8. Gazdag D. 16. Habroune T. 1. Hagen N. (G) 30. Picard H. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A. 19. Thiare J.
Coaches
Martino G.
Rydstrom H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Arfsten M. (A),
53', 0 - 2, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
58', Reilly W. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
58', Muyumba T. ↓, Fortune A. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Miranchuk Al. ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, Arfsten M. ⚽, Herrera A. (A),
68', Arfsten M. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
68', Gomes A. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
74', Alzate S. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
74', Jacob T. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
84', Martino G. 🟨,
85', Chambost D. ↓, Bangoura S. ↑,
86', Rossi D. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
90', Herrera A. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
90', Mihaj E. 🟨,
90+2', Baez E. 🟨,
90+3', Chambost D. 🟨,
90+3', Martino G. 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Atlanta: Reilly W.
(Muscle Injury)
Sergio Santos
(Illness)
There will not play in Columbus: Farsi M.
(Hernia)
There are questionable in Atlanta: Berrocal J.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 31:43. (average 1.6:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Columbus Crew - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.07%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Hoyos L. (G) 
Gregersen S. 
Mihaj E. 
Muyumba T. 
Reilly W. 
Alzate S. 
Almiron M. (C) 
Latte Lath E. 
Miranchuk Al. 
Moreira S. 
Amundsen M. 
Gomes A. 
Abou Ali W. 
Rossi D. 
Berrocal J. 
Fortune A. 
Hernandez R. 
Hibbert J. (G) 
Lobjanidze S. 
Picault F. 
Akhundzade N. 
Bangoura S. 
Gazdag D. 
Hagen N. (G) 
Thiare J. 
Rydstrom H. 
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