Match Info

MLS

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	San Jose Earthquakes		San Diego

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	2.85	Watch
	2.32	3.55	2.92	Watch
	2.29	3.71	3.05
	2.23	3.75	2.96	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.9
	2.3	3.68	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.29)	3.65 ↑ (3.62)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes
42.1%

Draw
25.9%

San Diego
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.1%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for San Jose Earthquakes aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for San Diego aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). San Diego will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Daniel (G) 28. Kikanovic B. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 2. Ricketts J. 14. Vieira R. (C) 34. Leroux B. 16. Skahan J. 10. Tsakiris N. 7. Bouda O. 19. Judd P.	18. Ferree D. (C) 33. Verhoeven O. 17. Soe O. 26. Duah M. 27. Bombino L. 8. Valakari O. 19. Vazquez D. 6. Tverskov J. 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 9. Morgan L.
Substitutes
21. Buck N. 36. Edwards E. (G) 20. Fernandez N. 25. Floriani M. 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 6. Harkes I. 17. Jasinski J. 3. Marie P. 4. Romney D.	1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 21. Duke B. 22. Eisner W. 20. Godoy A. 2. Kumado W. 77. Mighten A. 29. Saidi A. 15. Soma P. 14. Zamble B. B.
Coaches
Arena B.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', Bouda O. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Tsakiris N. ⚽, Judd P. (A),
32', Duah M. 🟥,
34', 2 - 0, Tsakiris N. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Vazquez D. ↓, Eisner W. ↑,
45+3', 3 - 0, Judd P. ⚽, Leroux B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Soe O. 🟨,
57', Skahan J. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
57', Morgan L. ↓, Zamble B. B. ↑,
57', Ingvartsen M. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
59', Tverskov J. 🟨,
69', Ricketts J. ↓, Romney D. ↑,
70', Leroux B. ↓, Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↑,
70', Bouda O. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
77', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 🟨,
78', Valakari O. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
78', Verhoeven O. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
86', Vieira R. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
90+3', Tsakiris N. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

San Jose is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, San Diego has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in San Diego: McVey C. (Red Card) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Sargeant K. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
21.03.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Philadelphia Union - San Jose Earthquakes	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WLWWW
- San Diego FC
MLS
22.03.26	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Toluca - San Diego	4:0 ✺
MLS
14.03.26	FC Dallas - San Diego	3:3 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.26	San Diego - Toluca	3:2 ✺
MLS
07.03.26	Sporting Kansas City - San Diego	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
27.09.25	San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes	0:1
17.08.25	San Jose Earthquakes - San Diego	1:2

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