Match Info

Date: 11 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Torero Stadium (San Diego)

Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)


	San Diego Loyal		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.52	4	4.8
	1.53	4.3	4.5
	1.5	4	4.9
	1.54	4.58	5.12
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.5	4.33	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	4.19 ↑ (4.11)	4.97 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
60%

Draw
21.7%

Hartford Athletic
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.3%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

21.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

San Diego Loyal - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. San Diego Loyal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Hartford will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartford: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 4 (14.73%), has project points - 54, has currently - 22, has a good chance of playoffs (78%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Hartford has the most likely position - 10 (21.86%), has project points - 38, has currently - 8, has a chance of playoffs (17%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 16, small importance 16, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

San Diego Loyal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of guest games.

In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
02.06.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
28.05.22	LA Galaxy II - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
21.05.22	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	New Mexico United - San Diego Loyal	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTLTW
- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
04.06.22	El Paso Locomotive - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.05.22	Hartford Athletic - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ✺
14.05.22	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
07.05.22	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWWL

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