Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Fifth Third Bank Stadium (Kennesaw)

Referee: Calume A. (Usa)


	Atlanta United II		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.7	2.1	Watch
	3	3.55	2.02
	2.8	3.6	2.06
	3.17	3.75	2.1
	3	3.78	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (4.75)	3.68 ↓ (4.15)	2.06 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United II
31%

Draw
24.8%

Las Vegas Lights
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

22.3%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

22.8%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United II's performance.

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Vegas Lights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Vegas Lights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Atlanta United II - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atlanta United II will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta United II: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 12 (26.57%), has project points - 26, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Las Vegas has the most likely position - 8 (14.23%), has project points - 44, has currently - 31, has a chance of playoffs (33%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 8, small importance 12, small match rating 10. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Atlanta United II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Las Vegas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Las Vegas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Las Vegas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
23.07.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	San Antonio - Atlanta United II	5:0 ✺
09.07.22	Tulsa - Atlanta United II	2:1 ✺
06.07.22	Atlanta United II - Birmingham Legion	3:3 ✺
02.07.22	Atlanta United II - El Paso Locomotive	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTT
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
27.07.22	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	0:2 ✺
23.07.22	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	0:2 ✺
17.07.22	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
02.07.22	Las Vegas Lights - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
24.06.22	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 LWWLW

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