The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlanta United II 18.1%
Draw 23.1%
Birmingham Legion 58.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.8%
23.6%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
24.8%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham Legion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
8.3%
50%
Atlanta United II - Birmingham Legion Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlanta United II will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Birmingham will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 12 (27.17%), has project points - 28, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality10, very small importance7, very small match rating8. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Atlanta United II is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Birmingham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Birmingham have a series of guest games.
In this match Birmingham is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlanta United II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta United II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.
Watch
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