Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Las Vegas Lights		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.30	2.40
	2.65	3.30	2.28
	2.59	3.70	2.54
	2.55	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.65	2.50
	2.48	3.38	2.43	Watch
	2.49	3.40	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.37)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)	2.45 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
36.1%

Draw
26.4%

Phoenix Rising
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henry T. (G) 6. Sessock N. 30. Ofeimu B. 33. Guillen A. 81. Antonoglou T. 27. Probo G. 23. Ybarra M. 18. Locker C. 11. Pinzon C. (C) 25. Anderson O. 14. Rodriguez J.	1. Rakovsky P. (G) 20. Biasi L. 4. Mar Boye P. (C) 17. JP Scearce 87. Flores D. 8. Gomez D. 13. Moursou J. 10. Avayevu H. 12. Dennis C. 23. Badji D. 11. Studenhofft G.
Substitutes
9. Arteaga M. 3. Jones N. 17. Leal P. 7. Mines B. 99. Moya J. (G) 43. Okyere A. 45. Pope B.	27. Ambursley C. 68. Irwin J. 14. Odunze C. (G) 24. Pelayo A. 44. Ping J. 37. Rivera G. 2. Smith C.
Coaches
Rensing D.	Kah P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Antonoglou T. ⚽, Sessock N. (A),
29', Studenhofft G. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Ofeimu B. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Pinzon C. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
68', Sessock N. ↓, Pope B. ↑,
71', Biasi L. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
71', Studenhofft G. ↓, Ambursley C. ↑,
79', Anderson O. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
79', Locker C. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
84', Badji D. 🟨,
85', Gomez D. ↓, Rivera G. ↑,
85', Flores D. ↓, Pelayo A. ↑,
86', Pope B. 🟨,
90+1', Avayevu H. ↓, Irwin J. ↑,
90+3', Irwin J. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 1.

Las Vegas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Phoenix Rising is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:44. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.7:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Phoenix Rising - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.95%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
25.07.26	Detroit City - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	2:3 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWWLL
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
25.07.26	Phoenix Rising - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	AV Alta - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
05.09.25	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	0:0
28.05.25	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	0:1
28.09.24	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	1:2
01.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	0:0
26.08.23	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	2:3
26.05.23	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	0:1
06.08.22	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	0:0

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