The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlante 36.8%
Draw 26.5%
Club León 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
26.7%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
26.6%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlante's performance.
Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club León might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlante that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club León could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Atlante - Club León Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 2 - 50%). León will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jimenez O. (C) 29. Portales W. 14. Alfaro C. 4. Tercero E. 44. Quiros A. 27. Escobar A. 8. Pizzuto E. 30. Martin Sarrafiore 16. Gonzalez D. 9. Puente L. 7. Jhojan Julio
23. Garcia O. (G) 7. Moreno I. 3. Guevara J. 25. Bellon P. 5. Vegas S. 203. Lara J. 8. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 20. Echeverria R. (C) 6. Beltran Cruz F. 11. Diaz I. 27. Cambindo D.
Substitutes
20. Adame G. 32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 6. Carrera J. N. 15. Charcopa J. 37. Clar W. 25. Fernandez M. 33. Garcia Jordan (G) 11. Moxica J. 3. Sanchez L. 10. Vazquez O.
19. Alvarado A. 13. Arcila D. 4. Colula B. 16. Cortizo J. 15. Fierro S. 181. Martinez I. (G) 185. Mora C. 26. Reyes S. 29. Rodriguez I. 22. Santos S.
Coaches
Herrera M.
Gandolfi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cambindo D. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
46', Diaz I. ↓, Arcila D. ↑,
46', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
71', Vegas S. 🟨,
73', Vegas S. ↓, Colula B. ↑,
74', Puente L. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Alvarado A. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Gonzalez D. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
87', Escobar A. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
89', Pizzuto E. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Martin Sarrafiore ⚽, Charcopa J. (A),
90+2', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Vazquez O. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 1.
Atlante is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
León is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
León may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlante has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Atlante: Calzadilla L.
(Red Card)
There will not play in León: Romana J.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in León: Estrada A.
(Broken Leg)
Guerra E.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
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Jimenez O. (C) 
Portales W. 
Quiros A. 
Jhojan Julio 
Guevara J. 
Vegas S. 
Diaz I. 
Clar W. 
Fernandez M. 
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