The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puebla 16.7%
Draw 19.8%
Tijuana 63.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.4%
20.6%
64%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17%
18.7%
58%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tijuana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puebla - Tijuana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Perez X. (G) 8. Sanchez A. 2. Peraza M. 3. Martinez L. 4. Diaz Y. (C) 23. Nalukenge J. 24. Collado N. 13. Osorio H. 6. Lopez A. 14. Lopez A. 9. Terrell K.
1. Paz A. (C) 27. Parra L. 22. Bautista E. 4. Ojeda D. 14. Gonzalez V. 7. Garcia J. 24. Fong M. 18. Carter T. 21. Moran L. 6. Ibarra F. 20. Carrandi D.
Substitutes
11. Dominguez Z. 17. Madrid Y. 16. Martinez D. 1. Masciarelli R. O. (G) 22. Micheels B. 27. Moron V. 7. Nakano A. 20. Salmoran D. 25. Suarez P.
30. Andonaegui M. 52. Caudillo D. 78. Del Real B. (G) 3. Enrigue J. 11. Fuentes D. 10. Hancar K. 8. Marroquin A. M. 17. Motau A. 9. Surovtseva M.
Coaches
Duron J.
Samayoa F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Lopez A. 🟨,
30', Parra L. 🟨,
32', Diaz Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Parra L. ↓, Motau A. ↑,
46', Lopez A. ↓, Micheels B. ↑,
46', Garcia J. ↓, Hancar K. ↑,
58', Ibarra F. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
59', Gonzalez V. ↓, Marroquin A. M. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Hancar K. ⚽, Carter T. (A),
65', Fong M. 🟨,
66', Osorio H. ↓, Nakano A. ↑,
70', Fong M. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Lopez A. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Carter T. ↓, Enrigue J. ↑,
76', Collado N. 🟨,
79', Sanchez A. ↓, Madrid Y. ↑,
82', Madrid Y. 🟨,
88', Lopez A. 🟨,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 8th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
Puebla is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Tijuana have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tijuana may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Tijuana holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Puebla has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:23 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puebla against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:10 goals (averaging 1.6:1.1 per game).
Watch
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Perez X. (G) 
Peraza M. 
Nalukenge J. 
Lopez A. 
Lopez A. 
Ojeda D. 
Carter T. 
Masciarelli R. O. (G) 
Nakano A. 
Hancar K. 
Motau A. 
Surovtseva M. 
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