Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play, TUDN


	Atlas		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.10	3.20	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.42
	3.19	3.2	2.35	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.35
	3.29	3.24	2.33	Watch
	3.15	3.2	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.33)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	2.32 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
29.4%

Draw
29.7%

Tigres UANL
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Atlas - Tigres UANL Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (C) 28. Capasso M. 44. Sanchez J. 21. Schlegel R. 11. Duk 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 6. Zaldivar E. 2. Gustavo Ferrareis 58. Gonzalez A. 203. Martin J. 9. Monzon F.	1. Guzman N. (G) 14. Garza J. 28. Joaquim 15. Franco A. 2. Reyes F. 8. Gorriaran F. (C) 23. Romulo 16. Lainez D. 11. Brunetta J. 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 17. Aguirre R.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre G. 10. Esteves L. 251. Gamboa L. 23. Hernandez S. 17. Lozano J. 4. Mora A. 15. Ramirez P. 5. Rodriguez J. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 192. Serrato J.	205. de Maria Campos A. 198. Galvan I. 33. Guerrero R. 19. Lainez M. 32. Lorona V. 26. Ordonez Delgado F. I. 200. Ramirez D. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 34. Simeone 6. Vigon J.
Coaches
Crespo H.	Elizondo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Capasso M. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Brunetta J. ⚽, Aguirre R. (A),
22', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
30', Elizondo H. 🟨,
35', Capasso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rios De Alba V. H. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
56', Garza J. 🟨,
65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Esteves L. ↑,
65', Martin J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
70', Sanchez J. 🟥,
71', Duk ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
80', Reyes F. ↓, Lorona V. ↑,
80', Franco A. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Esteves L. ⚽, Zaldivar E. (A),
85', Brunetta J. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Joaquim ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
90', Lainez D. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Atlas has had a series of away games.

Recently, Tigres has had a series of home games.

Tigres might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Atlas: Duk (Red Card) Valenzuela M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Tigres: Araujo C. (Thigh Injury) Flores M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlas: Rocha A. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tigres: Angulo J. (Knee Injury) Farfan M. (Muscle Injury) Herrera O. (Injury) Rodriguez O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18
11	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13:15	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres UANL - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.34%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Cincinnati - Atlas	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Charlotte - Atlas	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Columbus Crew - Atlas	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Atlas - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Santos Laguna - Atlas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLLW
- Tigres UANL
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Tigres UANL - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 penalties ✺
07.08.26	Tigres UANL - Minnesota United	1:0 penalties ✺
04.08.26	Tigres UANL - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Tigres UANL - Atlético San Luis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
22.04.26	Atlas - Tigres UANL	0:0
24.09.25	Tigres UANL - Atlas	2:0
08.02.25	Tigres UANL - Atlas	2:1
12.07.24	Atlas - Tigres UANL	1:1
24.02.24	Tigres UANL - Atlas	1:1
17.09.23	Atlas - Tigres UANL	2:0
18.02.23	Atlas - Tigres UANL	0:1

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