Match Info

Leagues Cup

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	FOX Sports 1, SportsEngine Play, TUDN, UniMas
World	Apple TV International


	Cincinnati		Atlas

	1	X	2
	1.40	5.25	6.25	Watch
	1.41	4.40	5.50
	1.41	4.90	6.40
	1.42	5.02	7.20
	1.37	5.32	7.3
	1.40	4.70	7.00
	1.40	5.31	6.65	Watch
	1.42	5.20	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.59)	5.01 ↑ (4.18)	6.56 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati
66.9%

Draw
18.7%

Atlas
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Cincinnati - Atlas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cincinnati (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Louro E. (G) 12. Robinson M. 21. Miazga M. 11. Gidi S. 20. Bucha P. 22. Valenzuela G. 5. Nwobodo O. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 10. Evander (C) 17. Mboma K. 9. Denkey K.	12. Vargas C. (C) 28. Capasso M. 13. Aguirre G. 44. Sanchez J. 16. Valenzuela M. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 15. Ramirez P. 11. Duk 58. Gonzalez A. 23. Hernandez S. 203. Martin J.
Substitutes
27. Anunga T. 16. Barlow T. 18. Celentano R. (G) 88. Chirila A. 66. Echenique E. 14. Fletcher K. 15. Hadebe T. 4. Hagglund N. 99. Jabbari A. 93. Mrozek F. (G) 2. Powell A. 24. Smith K.	10. Esteves L. 2. Gustavo Ferrareis 181. Hernandez L. (G) 17. Lozano J. 8. Mmaee R. 9. Monzon F. 4. Mora A. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 21. Schlegel R. 192. Serrato J. 188. Suarez L. 6. Zaldivar E.
Coaches
Noonan P.	Crespo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Evander ⚽, Ramirez Leon B. J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hernandez S. ↓, Esteves L. ↑,
59', Gonzalez A. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
59', Rios De Alba V. H. ↓, Mmaee R. ↑,
59', Martin J. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
63', Mboma K. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
63', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
77', Ramirez P. 🟨,
78', Denkey K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
78', Miazga M. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Monzon F. ⚽,
80', Ramirez P. ↓, Serrato J. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Serrato J. ⚽,
89', Bucha P. ↓, Fletcher K. ↑,

Preview

Cincinnati is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.

Recently, Atlas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.

We predict that Cincinnati will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cincinnati
CONCACAF League Cup
07.08.26	Cincinnati - UNAM	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Cincinnati - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
MLS
01.08.26	Cincinnati - San Jose Earthquakes	4:2 ✺
25.07.26	Columbus Crew - Cincinnati	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Cincinnati - Vancouver Whitecaps	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWLW
- Club Atlas
CONCACAF League Cup
07.08.26	Charlotte - Atlas	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Columbus Crew - Atlas	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Atlas - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Santos Laguna - Atlas	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Club León - Atlas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLLWW

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