Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+, ESPN, VIX, ViX Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Santos Laguna		Atlas

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.65
	2.72	3.2	2.52	Watch
	2.91	3.43	2.57
	2.74	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.45
	3.06	3.3	2.43	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.25)	3.29 ↓ (3.32)	2.53 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
33.8%

Draw
28.8%

Atlas
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos Laguna's form might have worsened.

Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlas's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Santos Laguna - Atlas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlas: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlas (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (G) 17. Echeverria E. 18. Pardo F. (C) 25. Sanchez F. 3. Cuevas M. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 11. Gruezo C. 21. Villalba F. 10. Bullaude E. 26. Sordo R. 9. Di Yorio L.	12. Vargas C. (G) 2. Gustavo Ferrareis 28. Capasso M. 21. Schlegel R. 16. Valenzuela M. 26. Rocha A. (C) 6. Zaldivar E. 11. Duk 58. Gonzalez A. 23. Hernandez S. 8. Mmaee R.
Substitutes
4. Abella J. 19. Aguirre E. 7. Gonzalez D. 6. Guemez J. 33. Holguin H. (G) 5. Lopez A. 15. Mancha J. 24. Medina D. 14. Orona E. 22. Picon K.	13. Aguirre G. 10. Esteves L. 17. Lozano J. 203. Martin J. 4. Mora A. 15. Ramirez P. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 3. Sanchez J. 192. Serrato J.
Coaches
Alves R.	Crespo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Gruezo C. 🟨,
45+1', Gustavo Ferrareis 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Zaldivar E. ⚽,
65', Di Yorio L. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
66', Gustavo Ferrareis ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
69', Rocha A. ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
71', Sordo R. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
71', Gruezo C. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
77', Gonzalez A. ↓, Esteves L. ↑,
77', Hernandez S. ↓, Lozano J. ↑,
77', Zaldivar E. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
84', Cuevas M. ↓, Picon K. ↑,
84', Mariscal Murra S. ↓, Mancha J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.

Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Santos Laguna: Amione B. (Knee Injury) Palacios K. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Lozano C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 0.9:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	10:15	-5	10

Last Results with these Odds

Atlas - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
18.07.26	Monterrey - Santos Laguna	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.26	Santos Laguna - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
23.06.26	Annapolis Blues - Santos Laguna	0:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.04.26	Santos Laguna - Monterrey	3:0 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWL
- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
17.07.26	Club León - Atlas	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Atlas - Cruz Azul	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Club América - Atlas	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Atlas - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
19.04.26	Santos Laguna - Atlas	0:1
13.09.25	Atlas - Santos Laguna	2:2
23.02.25	Santos Laguna - Atlas	2:0
16.07.24	Atlas - Santos Laguna	1:0
04.02.24	Atlas - Santos Laguna	3:0
13.07.23	Santos Laguna - Atlas	0:0
26.01.23	Atlas - Santos Laguna	2:2

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