Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Atlas General Rodríguez		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.35
	2.75	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.96	2.91	2.45
	2.8	3	2.38
	2.88	2.99	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.55)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.4 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas General Rodríguez
32%

Draw
30.2%

Ferrocarril Midland
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas General Rodríguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas General Rodríguez than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlas General Rodríguez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrocarril Midland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlas won 3.

Atlas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrocarril is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Atlas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlas General Rodríguez
Argentinian Primera C
10.10.23	Berazategui - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:0 ✺
02.10.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Real Pilar - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Liniers	0:0 ✺
11.09.23	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWTL
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera C
10.10.23	Atlético Claypole - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
02.10.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Sportivo Italiano - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Berazategui	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Club Luján - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
25.06.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlas General Rodríguez	4:3
18.02.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2
16.07.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:1
12.03.22	Atlas General Rodríguez - Ferrocarril Midland	3:2
12.10.21	Atlas General Rodríguez - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1
16.06.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:0

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