Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 37

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday


	Ferrocarril Midland		Deportivo Español

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.8
	1.68	3.4	4.75
	1.69	3.28	5.29
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.64	3.38	5.1
	1.64	3.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)	3.41 ↑ (3.41)	5.02 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
55.4%

Draw
26.6%

Deportivo Español
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

26.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrocarril won 0.

Ferrocarril is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Español has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ferrocarril is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera C
23.09.23	Sportivo Italiano - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Berazategui	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Club Luján - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Liniers - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLW
- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
22.09.23	Deportivo Español - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Español	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Deportivo Español - Berazategui	2:3 ✺
27.08.23	Club Luján - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
21.08.23	Deportivo Español - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
22.05.23	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
18.06.22	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0
13.02.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Español	1:1
31.10.21	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1
04.07.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Español	0:1
12.01.21	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	4:3
16.11.19	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1

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