Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.12	3.05	3.2
	2.22	3.1	3.39
	2.31	2.68	3.71	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.12	3.1	3.29
	2.37	3.1	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.37)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.29 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
41.7%

Draw
30.5%

Tacuarembó
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Albion (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+5', 1 - 0, Lacoste P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 0.

Albion has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tacuarembó is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Albion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Albion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Albion won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Albion Montevideo - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.9%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.07.25	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	2:2 ✺
13.07.25	Albion Montevideo - La Luz	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLW
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.07.25	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Rampla Juniors - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Central Español - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Tacuarembó - Artigas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.10.24	Tacuarembó - Albion Montevideo	1:0
11.07.24	Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:2
21.04.24	Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó	0:0
19.11.23	Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:2
09.07.23	Tacuarembó - Albion Montevideo	1:1
20.11.20	Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:1
21.09.20	Tacuarembó - Albion Montevideo	3:2

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