Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.15	3.2	3.15	Watch
	2.12	3.15	3.3
	2.19	3.42	3.37
	2.2	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.24	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.42)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	3.19 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
42.7%

Draw
28.4%

Huachipato
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

19.5%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Fenix Montevideo's performance.

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huachipato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Fenix Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huachipato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huachipato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Huachipato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fenix will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.10.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	Nacional - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
06.10.20	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Cerro Largo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLTWT
- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
20.10.20	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	3:0 ✺
14.10.20	Huachipato - Everton	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Huachipato - Deportes Antofagasta	0:0 ✺
03.10.20	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
25.09.20	Huachipato - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTWT

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