Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Montevideo Wanderers		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.23	3.31	3.46
	2.22	3.17	3.33	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)	3.2 ↑ (3.17)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
42.4%

Draw
29.1%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Montevideo Wanderers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fenix will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. da Silva J. (G) 6. Morales L. 4. Risso M. 23. Garcia E. 21. Rolon K. 16. Alberti J. 8. Veglio B. (C) 5. Queiroz N. 19. Viudez T. 10. Fonseca M. 15. Royon N.	25. Marquez E. (G) 4. Perg M. 13. Pereira G. 24. Alvez J. (C) 15. Chopitea R. 29. Franca S. 16. Guisolfo B. 14. Alfaro A. 27. Cachi M. 9. Da Silva S. 19. Juambeltz M.
Substitutes
31. Aguirregaray M. 11. Albarracin A. 27. Bontempo L. 29. Crucci E. 9. Franco C. 26. Guzman S. 13. Otormin L. 1. Silveira M. (G) 17. Suarez M. 24. Suarez P.	8. Breno Caetano 17. Cortelezzi S. 40. De Leon F. 26. de Marco S. 11. Estoyanoff F. 7. Fernandez W. 1. Requena A. (G) 5. Schetino A. 6. Scotto S. 21. Viera S.
Coaches
Pacheco A.	Vigneri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 0, Rolon K. (Pen),
64', Juambeltz M. ↓, Cortelezzi S. ↑,
64', Alfaro A. ↓, Estoyanoff F. ↑,
65', Guisolfo B. ↓, Schetino A. ↑,
65', Da Silva S. ↓, de Marco S. ↑,
71', Fonseca M. ↓, Suarez P. ↑,
77', Viudez T. ↓, Otormin L. ↑,
77', Queiroz N. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, de Marco S. ⚽,
81', Franca S. ↓, Breno Caetano ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Schetino A. ⚽,
87', Veglio B. ↓, Crucci E. ↑,
90+1', Suarez P. 🟨,
90+2', Alfaro A. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fenix could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 22:37 (average 1.1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Wanderers won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.10.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	3:2 ✺
28.09.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLTW
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	1:3 ✺
11.10.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	4:3 ✺
22.09.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.06.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	3:1
21.04.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2
02.12.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1
06.05.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:3
Club Friendly
27.01.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.08.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1
20.07.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0

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