Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 7Date: 20 June 2026, SaturdayLocation: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports |
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Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
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Oriental de La Paz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
3.20 |
2.95 |
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2.07 |
3.15 |
3.20 |
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2.27 |
3.35 |
3.11 |
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2.09 |
3.23 |
3.46 |
Watch |
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2.20 |
3.20 |
2.90 |
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2.26 |
3.47 |
2.94 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.23) |
3.27 ↑
(3.11) |
3.09 ↓
(3.26) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
42.2% | Draw
28.1% | Oriental de La Paz
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Fenix could have a small edge in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).Including home matches between the teams, Fenix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Oriental | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:22 | 7 | 32 |
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| 7 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 29 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Oriental de La Paz - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 02.05.26 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz | 1:0 | | 30.08.25 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz | 2:1 | | 07.06.25 | Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 2:0 | | 29.03.25 | Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
