Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 7

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Uruguay	13:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.20	2.95
	2.07	3.15	3.20
	2.27	3.35	3.11
	2.09	3.23	3.46	Watch
	2.20	3.20	2.90
	2.26	3.47	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.23)	3.27 ↑ (3.11)	3.09 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
42.2%

Draw
28.1%

Oriental de La Paz
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

31.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fenix could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Oriental	24	8	9	7	33:29	4	33
10	Fenix	24	7	9	8	27:29	-2	30

Last Results with these Odds

Oriental de La Paz - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Miramar Misiones - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTTL
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - La Luz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0
30.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:1
07.06.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
29.03.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0

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