Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Baleares		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.25	3	2.1
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.42	3	2.24
	3.34	3.1	2.18
	3.3	3.05	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.5)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	2.16 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
27.5%

Draw
30.1%

Real Murcia
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

32.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Baleares's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 2. Loren 12. Gonzalez R. 21. Nana 15. Juanra 23. Ferroni L. 7. Moreno Sanchez J. 4. Sierra J. 19. Shashoua A. 17. Alarcon R. 16. Rodriguez D. (C)	24. Gianni Cassaro (G) 2. Ruiz J. 16. Rofino V. G. 6. Gonzalez A. 5. Zalaya A. 14. Leon P. 7. Gomez I. 21. Pina Tomas 17. Vega D. 11. Carrillo J. 25. Rubio A.
Substitutes
9. Jimenez Xisco 27. Llabres A. 18. Martinez J. 30. Ortega D. 10. Pastrana V. 29. Piera J. 20. Sanchez O. 35. Socias P. (G)	23. Alonso I. 3. Baro M. 28. Ferrer I. 1. Garcia M. (G) 26. Lopez A. 22. Molina A. 13. Piedra I. (G) 9. Rodri 18. Rojas C. 27. Totti

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Atlético Baleares has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Murcia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Baleares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.10.23	Antequera - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Atlético Baleares - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Baleares	5:0 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Baleares - Málaga	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Ibiza - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.10.23	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	San Fernando - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:3 ✺
02.09.23	Real Murcia - Córdoba	1:3 ✺
27.08.23	Granada B - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.04.23	Real Murcia - Atlético Baleares	0:1
18.12.22	Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia	0:3

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