The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Chiriquí 7.9%
Draw 14%
Independiente de la Chorrera 78.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.2%
19.4%
66.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.8%
18.9%
68.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Chiriquí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Chiriquí's form might have worsened.
Independiente de la Chorrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente de la Chorrera's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Chiriquí than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Chiriquí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente de la Chorrera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dussan A. (G) 37. Aizpu A. 4. Aparicio R. 69. Arauz C. 3. Guerra R. 2. Justiniani M. 6. Meneses R. 19. Saldana A. 17. Sierra T. 14. Velasco L. 8. Wright D. (C)
1. Allen M. (G) 19. Avila M. (C) 77. Avila V. 25. Contreras D. 8. Cunningham S. 23. Hurtado H. 17. Meneses K. 21. Murillo J. 33. Navarro R. 4. Sealy A. 30. Small C.
Substitutes
16. Casazola L. 25. Chacon E. (G) 18. Florez J. 24. Gonzalez E. 27. Lopez R. 11. Lowis A. 30. Quintero E.
18. Acosta M. 10. Aguila R. 37. Modelo J. 31. Nunez F. (G) 16. Stewart A.
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chiriquí won 1.
Chiriquí has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Independiente in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Chiriquí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Independiente is absolute favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Chiriquí won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Chiriquí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-13.