Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF CENTRAL AMERICAN CUP - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez (La Chorrera)


	Independiente de la Chorrera		Motagua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.65
				Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.84
	2.5	3	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.69)	3.05 ↓ (3.24)	2.79 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente de la Chorrera
37.3%

Draw
30%

Motagua
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente de la Chorrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Independiente de la Chorrera - Motagua Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Roberts E. (G) 19. Avila M. 22. Ramirez S. 3. Davis O. 21. Murillo J. 8. Cunningham S. 7. Serrano J. 23. Hurtado H. 10. Aguila R. (C) 25. Contreras D. 30. Small C.	19. Rougier J. (C) 14. Argueta C. 3. Melendez C. 12. Santos M. 4. Vega L. 26. Melendez D. 17. Decas W. 23. Delgado J. 18. Campana L. 11. Auzmendi A. 10. Mejia Y.
Substitutes
18. Acosta M. 1. Allen M. (G) 55. Avila C. 77. Avila V. 17. Meneses K. 37. Modelo J. 54. Narvaez J. 33. Navarro R. 46. Obando J. 16. Stewart A.	21. Escalante J. 1. Facusse E. (G) 33. Galindo A. 24. Garcia Rodriguez A. I. 29. Hernandez Alvarez A. S. 7. Lopez I. 15. Maldonado E. 8. Martinez Betanco W. J. 16. Mejia C. 27. Rochez J. 34. Sacaza G. 6. Zapata R.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Independiente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Motagua is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Motagua have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente de la Chorrera
Liga Panamena de Futbol
29.09.23	Árabe Unido - Independiente de la Chorrera	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.09.23	Motagua - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
22.09.23	Plaza Amador - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Independiente de la Chorrera - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Independiente de la Chorrera - Sporting San Miguelito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLTW
- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
29.09.23	Motagua - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.09.23	Motagua - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
20.09.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua	0:4 ✺
16.09.23	Motagua - Real Sociedad Tocoa	0:0 ✺
13.09.23	Motagua - Olancho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.09.23	Motagua - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1

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